8:32PM: With 88% in, Yarmuth is holding Northup at 50-49, with a 3000 vote lead. Keep your fingers crossed. As I recall, NRCC chair Tom Reynolds said that if Northup lost, he was expecting a very unpleasant night nationwide.
8:24PM: With 9% in, Hodes leads 61-38.
8:17PM: Nice! Our first catch of the night: IN-08 has been called by the AP in favor of Brad Ellsworth (D) who holds a 62-38 lead with 34% of the vote in.
8:11PM: Keep your eye on IN-07. Democratic incumbent Julia Carson is not performing well in the early returns: 48-52 in her Republican challenger’s favor with 15% reporting.
8:04PM: With 81% of precincts reporting, Yarmuth (D) is edging Northup by a 50-49 margin and just over 3700 votes.
8:02PM: With 24% of precincts reporting, Webb (D) is edging Allen (R) by 50-49 in the VA-Sen race.
7:57PM: With 16% of precincts reporting, Tom Hayhurst (D) is trailing Rep. Mike Souder (R) by 48-52. This is a district that delievered somewhere in the ballpark of 68% of its vote to Bush in 2004.
7:54PM: With 9% of precincts reporting, Mike Weaver (D) is edging Rep. Ron Lewis (R) by 51-49 and 500 votes in KY-02.
7:44PM: With 74% of precincts reporting, Yarmuth is up by 51-48 and 3500 votes over Northup. Wow. Keeping my fingers crossed here, because a win here would be a great sign of things to come.
7:42PM: With 16% of precincts reporting, the race in IN-09 is tight as ever: 48%-48% between Rep. Mike Sodrel (R) and Baron Hill (D), with Sodrel up by 7 votes.
7:23PM: With 64% of precincts reporting, CNN has Yarmuth back ahead of Northup by a slim 50-49 margin (just over 2500 votes). An absolute nailbiter.
7:16PM: The AP has called it for Peter Welch (D) in VT-AL. That was fast. The GOP had hoped that they could pick one off here. Tough breaks for them.
7:09PM: With 53% of precincts reporting, Northup is in the lead in KY-03 by a slim margin: 49.6% to 49.%
7:02PM: With 12% of precincts reporting, Brad Ellsworth (D) is edging Rep. John Hostettler (R) by a 70-30 margin in IN-08. Obviously we’re seeing some heavily Democratic precincts reporting here.
6:58PM: With 37% of precincts reporting, Yarmuth is edging Northup by 51-48. This would be a major, major upset for Democrats.
6:52PM: In addition to CNN.com (obviously), you can get results for KY-04 here and KY-02 results here.
6:49PM EST: KY-03 results available here. With 14.9% of precincts reporting, Yarmuth has a 51.1%-47.7% lead over Northup!
Polls have closed in Kentucky and some parts of Indiana, so we should be seeing some results begin to trickle in shortly. Key races to watch in Kentucky: KY-02 and KY-03. If John Yarmuth (D) can knock off Republican incumbent Ann Northup, and if State Rep. Mike Weaver (D) can come close to knocking off Rep. Ron Lewis (R), expect a big night. If Weaver comes out on top, all bets are off. The other big race in Kentucky is KY-04, where former Rep. Ken Lucas (D) is taking on Rep. Geoff Davis (R) in what is expected to be a close contest in a tight district. I’m putting more emphasis on KY-03 and John Yarmuth’s performance as a bellwether race, though.
This post will be updated as events unfold.
….alot of the city of Louisville vote remains in the KY-03 race. Peter Welch has been declared the winner in the VT-AL House race, which the GOP had hoped would be competitive. So far, so good.
And by the way, Ellsworth’s strong numbers are coming from Vigo County (Terre Haute), the district’s second biggest population center. His home county of Vanderburgh (Evansville) is still yet to come. Looking great for him.
Starting to come in: http://sbe.virginiainteractive.org. Not enough to be meaningful yet.
Southwest VA -Floyd County Little River Pct 201
Allen 619 54.2
Webb 504 44.1
Turnout 1,143
Kaine 458 48.3
Kilgore 469 49.4
Turnout 949
Deeds 456 49.5
McDonnell 463 50.3
Turnout in No VA is going to need to be high to balance this out.
Allen is doing well in SW VA and turnout is very high.
Sorry to be the bearer.
I’m a wreck! Go dems!!!
….he’s now pulled into a lead without a single vote coming from his stronghold of Monroe County (Bloomington–Indiana University).
Doesn’t look like any Monroe County returns are in yet from IN-09. Monroe County is the home of IU and was one of only two IN counties in 04 that went for Kerry. When Monroe County starts coming in, this could begin breaking for Hill.
….”Mark Foley” looks poised to win in FL-16. Mahoney is narrowly ahead currently, but almost all of the vote is coming from St. Lucie County, the only Democratic part of the district.